Green Bay Packers Fantasy Insight


Training camp is just around the corner, which means, so is fantasy football! No matter if it’s a fantasy draft you do every year or if you do a dynasty league, it’s always fun to assemble a team to beat your friends. Last year some Packers produced wonders for fantasy owners, and this year we should expect more. Here are some players and insight that should help you bring home that championship

Aaron Rodgers
2018 Statistics: 372/597, 4,442 yards, 25 TDs, 2 INT, 43 carries, 269 yards, 2 TDs, 312.6 FPTS
2019 Projections: 357/576, 4,188 yards, 32 TDs, 7 INT, 46 carries, 259 yards, 2 TDs, 311.3 FPTS

Rodgers comes into 2019 off a disappointing year to some people, but when it comes to fantasy football, he was still one of the best. Rodgers finished sixth in his position with 312.6 fantasy points, only behind Patrick Mahomes, DeShaun Watson, Andrew Luck, Matt Ryan, and Ben Roethlisberger. There’s no question that Rodgers is still one of the best in the business as a strong QB1 and is going to be one of the first quarterbacks off the board in your fantasy league.

Aaron Jones
2018 Statistics: 133 carries, 728 yards, 5.5 average, 8 TDs, 26 rec, 206 yards, 1 TD, 145.4 FPTS
2019 Projections: 202 carries, 944 yards, 4.7 average, 8 TDs, 43 rec, 325 yards, 2 TD, 183.8 FPTS

I’m very excited for the running game for the Packers this year, especially with Jones. I believe he is going to crush his projections, meaning I think he will be a 1,000-yard rusher with double-digit rushing touchdowns and going to flirt around five receiving touchdowns. Jones was very efficient last year despite playing 51 percent of the snaps. Last year, Jones played 11 weeks and finished 23rd among RBs, but finished with three top-10 fantasy weeks. With a new coaching staff that loves to have the running back involved, Jones is going to be a steal in all leagues and possibly should see a top-15 finish.

Jamaal Williams
2018 Statistics: 121 carries, 464 yards, 3.8 average, 3 TDs, 27 rec, 210 yards, 0 TD, 87.4 FPTS
2019 Projections: 107 carries, 434 yards, 4.1 average, 3 TDs, 25 rec, 209 yards, 1 TD, 87.1 FPTS

Williams has shown flashes of what he can do, but it’s going to be hard to compete against Jones for carries. The only way Williams could be beneficial is if Jones misses time due to injury. Williams shouldn’t be drafted in any of your leagues, except if it’s a really deep league. Williams could be a good late-season free agency pick up.

Dexter Williams
2018 Statistics: — carries, — yards, — average, — TDs, — rec, — yards, — TD, — FPTS
2019 Projections: 28 carries, 114 yards, 4.0 average, 1 TD, 4 rec, 33 yards, 0 TD, 19.7 FPTS
Williams isn’t supposed to make an immediate impact for the Packers, but his future is bright. Williams had a great career at Notre Dame and could benefit from the Packers run offense. If there’s an injury to Jones he’ll see his number get called, but as of now, I would only draft him in dynasty leagues.

Davante Adams
2018 Statistics: 169 targets, 111 rec, 1,386 yards, 12.5 avg, 13 TDs, 218.6 FPTS
2019 Projections: 154 targets, 102 rec, 1,261 yards, 12.3 avg. 11 TDs, 194.3 FPTS

Adams was absolutely unreal for the Packers and fantasy owners as he finished as the third-best receiver last year, only behind DeAndre Hopkins and Tyreek Hill. ESPN is projecting that Adams won’t be having a better year than last year, which makes sense and is expected. It’s tough to put up those numbers again or even improve, especially with a team that could have a more balanced rushing attack and more opportunities for the young receivers. Adams is still WR1 material and should be drafted in the first round in every league.

Geronimo Allison
2018 Statistics: 30 targets, 20 rec, 303 yards, 15.2 average, 2 TDs, 42.3 FPTS
2019 Projections: 83 targets, 52 rec, 684 yards, 13.1 average, 4 TDs, 94.7 FPTS

Last year Allison was on his way to a break-out season for the Packers, but a groin injury cut his season short. When healthy, Allison posted up solid numbers and was the 28th best receiver in fantasy. Allison could repeat and hopefully finish this break-out season, so for me, he is a borderline a flex position. Keep Allison on your watchlist as he could be a late-round sleeper.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling
2018 Statistics: 72 targets, 38 rec, 581 yards, 15.3 average, 2 TD, 73 FPTS
2019 Projections: 77 targets, 44 rec, 631 yards, 14.2 average, 4 TD, 90.1 FPTS

Valdes-Scantling is building all the hype this season and I’m buying into it. MVS played took 46 percent of his routes in the slot position as a rookie and with Randall Cobb gone, expect for him to see more targets and in my opinion better stats than his projections. MVS is going to be in a battle with Allison for WR2/WR3 duties, so his value could be at the flex position. I would use MVS as a late-round pick for regular leagues, but for dynasty league, he could go a little sooner.

Equanimeous St. Brown
2018 Statistics: 36 targets, 21 rec, 328 yards, 15.6 average, 0 TD, 33.3 FPTS
2019 Projections: 22 targets, 13 rec, 185 yards, 13.8 average, 1 TD, 25.1 FPTS

Last year St. Brown has shown some flashes of excitement with his size and ability, but it might be hard to get something going in year two. St. Brown will get his opportunity, especially if Allison and MVS miss time due to injury but as of right now I would avoid him in regular leagues, but take a chance in the later rounds of a dynasty league.

Jimmy Graham
2018 Statistics: 90 targets, 55 rec, 636 yards, 11.6 average, 2 TDs, 75.6 FPTS
2019 Projections: 72 targets, 47 rec, 555 yards, 11.7 average, 5 TDs, 83.5 FPTS

It was a disappointing first year for Graham, but he could easily be up for a bounce-back season. The 32-year-old finished as the 14th best TE in fantasy, which isn’t as bad as people would think. His projections are pretty much what I expect, due to the young receivers, more balanced running attack or more some split snaps between Sternberger, Lewis, and Tonyan. Graham should be a solid TE2 with upside to be a TE1.

Jace Sternberger
2018 Statistics: — targets, — rec, — yards, — average, — TD, — FPTS
2019 Projections: 28 targets, 19 rec, 211 yards, 11.4 avg, 2 TD, 32.8 FPTs

I’m a big fan of Sternberger as I think he’s going to have a successful career and be a dominant TE in the NFL, but not for his rookie season as it’s going to be a learning year. In a regular league, I would stay away from Sternberger and keep an eye on him in free agency just in case Graham misses time due to injuries, but if it’s a dynasty league I would select Sternberger as my TE for the future.

Packers DEF/ST
2018 Statistics: 44 sacks, 7 INT, 8 FR, 2 TD, 392 PA, 5,670 YA, 74 FPTS
2019 Projections: 39 sacks, 10 INT, 6 FR, 2 TD, 364 PA, 5,675 YA, 76.6

The Packers made some great moves in free agency to bulk up their defense with Za’Darius Smith, Preston Smith, Adrian Amos, Rashan Gary, and Darnell Savage, so I’m very surprised with their projections. I understand the Packers had the 24th best fantasy defense, but sure they are going to dramatically improve, especially with yards allowed and fantasy points. With the signing of the Smiths’ and draft selection of Gary with Kenny Clark and Mike Daniels, they’ll get over 39 sacks. The turnovers seem about right, but I would think they would get more than 10 interceptions. I think the Packers defense, at worst, is a top-15 defense and is going to make some noise. A lot of people will sleep on the Packers defense in your league.

Mason Crosby
2018 Statistics: 1-39 (14/15), 40-49 (11/15), 50+ (5/7), TOT (30/37), XP (34/36), 138 FPTS
2019 Projections: 1-39 (16/18), 40-49 (8/10), 50+ (3/5) TOT (27/33), XP (40/43), 129.5 FPTS

Last year Crosby was very active as he attempted the second-most field goals in the league and finished 7th among all kickers in fantasy points. Crosby is still a reliable kicker for fantasy, but the projections and I agree that he might see some fewer field goals and more extra points because the Packers should be scoring touchdowns often this year. Crosby had one forgettable game last year as he went 1 for 5 on field goals in Detroit.

Fantasy Stats and Projections from ESPN


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